Tom Standage, editor at The Economist, has made predictions about what the world will look like in 2026. Here are his 10 forecasts:
1. America's 250th year
On the 250th anniversary of the United States' founding, expect to hear contrasting narratives about the country's past and present from Republicans and Democrats, each describing the same nation in different terms. The style of governance that Trump has pursued, characterized by bullying, tariffs, and executive orders, will persist.
2. Geopolitical drift
Is the world entering a new cold war? Will the main contenders be the U.S. and China? Will a Trump-style deal carve up the world into American, Russian, and Chinese 'spheres of influence', allowing each to do as they please within their respective regions?
3. War or peace?
Peace will hold in Gaza. However, conflicts will continue in Ukraine, Sudan, and Myanmar.
4. New challenges for Europe
Europe faces a test in 2026. It must increase defense spending, keep the U.S. on its side, and tackle budget deficits. Austerity policies could boost support for far-right parties.
5. 2026 as an opportunity for China
Trump's 'America First' policy presents China with new opportunities to increase its global influence. China will present itself as a more reliable partner, especially through trade agreements in the Global South.
6. Concerns about artificial intelligence
Investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure could be masking economic weaknesses in the U.S. Will the AI bubble burst?
7. Weight loss drugs
In 2026, the ethical boundaries of performance-enhancing drugs could be debated in the context of weight loss medications.
8. Climate crisis
Many companies will achieve their climate targets. Keep an eye on geothermal energy; it could be on the rise.
9. Economic worries
President Trump's tariffs will suppress global growth. The U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman will change in May, which could trigger conflict in the market.
10. Can sports provide an escape from politics?
Sports will not provide an escape from politics in 2026. Many sporting events held in the U.S. could become the focus of controversy.